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Availability heuristic

Curated Category: judgment-heuristics

Easily recalled examples are treated as representative frequency or probability.

Vivid recent cases dominate judgment, while base rates and broader distributions are underweighted. Narrative salience substitutes for statistical representativeness.

Detection signals

  • Generalization from recent high-visibility incidents.
  • Probability claims without baseline data.
  • Heavy reliance on anecdotal salience.

Caution notes

  • Recent evidence can still be relevant when dynamics shift quickly.
  • Confirm whether base rates are truly unavailable or simply omitted.

AI-generated domain examples

Generate illustrative examples for a selected domain/topic. Generated output is separated from canonical ontology content.

Related biases