Detection signals
- It-was-obvious framing after the fact.
- Prior uncertainty is erased in retrospective explanation.
- Decision quality judged solely by outcome.
Hindsight bias
Past outcomes are presented as if they were obvious in advance.
After outcomes are known, prior uncertainty is minimized and the narrative overstates predictability of events or decisions.
Caution notes
- Retrospective learning is useful when uncertainty is acknowledged.
- Mark bias when post-hoc certainty is overstated.
AI-generated domain examples
Generate illustrative examples for a selected domain/topic. Generated output is separated from canonical ontology content.