Language: RU EN
Back to catalog

Planning fallacy

Curated Category: forecasting

Underestimating time, cost, and complexity despite known precedents.

The narrative relies on best-case assumptions, while historical overruns and implementation frictions are treated as exceptional.

Detection signals

  • Compressed timeline promises without contingency.
  • Historical overruns are dismissed as irrelevant.
  • Complex dependencies are minimized in final estimates.

Caution notes

  • Early project communication can be inherently approximate.
  • Detect bias when uncertainty bounds are systematically absent.

AI-generated domain examples

Generate illustrative examples for a selected domain/topic. Generated output is separated from canonical ontology content.

Related biases